Two Reasons We Won’t See a Rush of Foreclosures This Fall

Two Reasons We Won’t See a Rush of Foreclosures This Fall | MyKCM

The health crisis we face as a country has led businesses all over the nation to reduce or discontinue their services altogether. This pause in the economy has greatly impacted the workforce and as a result, many people have been laid off or furloughed. Naturally, that would lead many to believe we might see a rush of foreclosures like we saw in 2008. The market today, however, is very different from 2008.

The concern of more foreclosures based on those that are out of work is one that we need to understand fully. There are two reasons we won’t see a rush of foreclosures this fall: forbearance extension options and strong homeowner equity.

1. Forbearance Extension

Forbearance, according to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), is when your mortgage servicer or lender allows you to temporarily pay your mortgage at a lower payment or pause paying your mortgage.” This is an option for those who need immediate relief. In today’s economy, the CFPB has given homeowners a way to extend their forbearance, which will greatly assist those families who need it at this critical time.
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Existing-Home Sales Report Indicates Now Is a Great Time to Sell

 

The best time to sell anything is when demand for that item is high and the supply of that item is limited. The latest Existing-Home Sales Report released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), reveals that demand for housing continues to be strong, but the supply is struggling to keep pace. With this trend likely continuing throughout 2020, now is a great time to sell your house.

THE EXISTING-HOME SALES REPORT

The most important data revealed in this report was not actually sales. In reality, it was the inventory of homes for sale (supply). The report explained:

  • Total housing inventory at the end of August decreased 2.6% to 1.86 million homes available for sale.
  • Unsold inventory is lower than the 4.3-month figure recorded in August 2018.
  • This represents a 4.1-month supply at the current sales pace.

According to Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR,

“Sales are up, but inventory numbers remain low and are thereby pushing up
home prices.”

In real estate, there is a simple guideline that often applies here. Essentially, when there is less than a 6-month supply of inventory available, we are in a seller’s market and we will see greater appreciation. Between a 6 to 7-month supply is a neutral market, where prices will increase at the rate of inflation. More than a 7-month supply means we are in a buyer’s market and can expect depreciation in home values (see below):Existing-Home Sales Report Indicates Now Is a Great Time to Sell | MyKCMAs we mentioned before, there is currently a 4.1-month supply of homes on the market, and houses are going under contract fast. The Existing Home Sales Report also shows that 49% of properties were on the market for less than a month when they were sold. In August, properties sold nationally were typically on the market for 31 days. As Yun notes, this should continue,

“As expected, buyers are finding it hard to resist the current rates…The desire to take advantage of these promising conditions is leading more buyers to the market.” 

Takeaway: Inventory of homes for sale is still well below the 6-month supply needed for a normal market, and supply will fail to catch up with demand if a sizable supply does not enter the market.

Bottom Line

If you are going to sell, now may be the time to take advantage of the ready, willing, and able buyers who are out there searching for your house to become their dream home.

OPEN HOUSE: SUNDAY FEB. 10, 2019 12pm-2pm | 164 BALDWIN Road

BaldwinRd164

http://tours.mixedmediaco.com/115321/164-baldwin-birmingham-mi-48009

OPEN HOUSE:164 BALDWIN Road, Birmingham 48009-1356
SUNDAY FEB. 10, 2019 12pm-2pm
4 BD 2.1 BA 2844 SQ FT
MLS# 218101342 $995,000

Stunning, peaceful location in the most sought after area in Birmingham. This gorgeous home backs up to the Rouge River and is just steps away through trails to the Waterfall and Quarton Lake Park. Spacious and sprawling, this home has unique features such as copper gutters, refinished original hardwood floors throughout entire home, Pewabic tile foyer floor and fireplace surround, and eco friendly dyed cement baths. Dual staircases and a high-end gourmet kitchen with exquisite Vermont Verde Antique marble countertops, new stainless steel appliances and custom lined oak cabinets. The two story great room with it’s custom fireplace boasts a cathedral ceiling and a beautiful wall of windows overlooking the sprawling, private yard and brick paver patio. Custom built-in desk and wall units create a cozy office off the kitchen. So many more unique features you just have to see to believe! Could easily be expanded to over 6000 sq.ft. BATVAI

OPEN HOUSE SCHEDULE JANUARY 26 & 27

SAT & SUN 164 BALDWIN Road, Birmingham 48009
Saturday Jan 26th 1pm-3pm
Sunday Jan 27th 12pm-2pm

BaldwinOH
http://tours.mixedmediaco.com/115321/164-baldwin-birmingham-mi-48009

Stunning, peaceful location in the most sought after area in Birmingham. This gorgeous home backs up to the Rouge River and is just steps away through trails to the Waterfall and Quarton Lake Park. Spacious and sprawling, this home has unique features such as copper gutters, refinished original hardwood floors throughout entire home, Pewabic tile foyer floor and fireplace surround, and eco friendly dyed cement baths. Dual staircases and a high-end gourmet kitchen with exquisite Vermont Verde Antique marble countertops, new stainless steel appliances and custom lined oak cabinets. The two story great room with it’s custom fireplace boasts a cathedral ceiling and a beautiful wall of windows overlooking the sprawling, private yard and brick paver patio. Custom built-in desk and wall units create a cozy office off the kitchen. So many more unique features you just have to see to believe! Could easily be expanded to over 6000 sq.ft. BATVAI


7605 DEVINS Ridge, Independence Twp 48348
Sunday Jan. 27th 1pm-3pm

DevinsRidge

BRIDGE VALLEY FAMILY RESORT ALL ON 1.5 ACRE LOT. ESTATE BOASTS 5 BEDROOMS. 2 OWNER SUITES WITH PRIVATE BATHS, JETTED JACUZZI AND SHOWERS.TWO STORY GREAT ROOM WITH SURROUND SOUND,GORGEOUS BUILT INS,FIELDSTONE GAS FIREPLACE AND LARGE WINDOWS FOR BEAUTIFUL VIEWS OF NATURE. OPEN CONCEPT KITCHEN PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING. HOME HAS GRANITE AND TILE BATHS THROUGHOUT. CUSTOMIZED LAUNDRY AND MUDD ROOM WITH GRANITE SINK, CABINET AND CUBBIES. LOWER LEVEL IS A FINISHED WALK OUT WITH LARGE FAMILYROOM,SURROUND SOUND, STONE GAS FIREPLACE,BUILT IN CABINETRY,FULL BATH,AMPLE STORAGE. EXTERIOR HAS AN IN GROUND HEATED 36×18 POOL WITH DIVING BOARD, BREATHLESS LANDSCAPING,AND AMPLE YARD TO PLAY. Much, much more. BATVAI

OPEN HOUSE SCHEDULE: SUN JAN. 20, 2019

12:00 PM – 2:00 pm

HickoryGrove

http://s3.amazonaws.com/veewme.videos.output/1080-mp4/8082aa34-6456-464c-9500-94a351a61917-1080p.mp4

Completely updated (2016) NEW high-end kitchen, NEW baths, NEW flooring, NEW windows, super energy efficient condo with the best views in the complex. Quiet, kind neighbors. Bloomfield Hills schools! Close to St Joe’s Hospital, Chrysler Headquarters, Downtown Birmingham, doctors offices and many restaurants. Miles of sidewalks for exercise. NEW Thermatru doors, Oxbow windows, pet proof carpet. All NEW furnace overhaul. Gorgeous new kitchen with quartz countertops and Stainless Steel appliances. Both bathrooms completely remodeled. Beautifully refinished hardwood floors and new paint throughout. Private, partially finished basement with a real bar perfect for gatherings. Brand new water system at the complex and seller has paid assessment! One car shared garage. BATVAI – Watch Video Tour and be amazed!


3:00 PM – 5:00 PM

BaldwinRd164

http://s3.amazonaws.com/veewme.videos.output/1080-mp4/8082aa34-6456-464c-9500-94a351a61917-1080p.mp4

Stunning, peaceful location in the most sought after area in Birmingham. This gorgeous home backs up to the Rouge River and is just steps away through trails to the Waterfall and Quarton Lake Park. Spacious and sprawling, this home has unique features such as copper gutters, refinished original hardwood floors throughout entire home, Pewabic tile foyer floor and fireplace surround, and eco friendly dyed cement baths. Dual staircases and a high-end gourmet kitchen with exquisite Vermont Verde Antique marble countertops, new stainless steel appliances and custom lined oak cabinets. The two story great room with it’s custom fireplace boasts a cathedral ceiling and a beautiful wall of windows overlooking the sprawling, private yard and brick paver patio. Custom built-in desk and wall units create a cozy office off the kitchen. So many more unique features you just have to see to believe! Could easily be expanded to over 6000 sq.ft. Also for lease $6,995 p/m MLS#218101395 BATVAI

Dispelling the Myth About Home Affordability

Blog - DispellingWe have all seen the headlines that report that buying a home is less affordable today than it was at any other time in the last ten years, and those headlines are accurate. But, have you ever wondered why the headlines don’t say the last 25 years, the last 20 years, or even the last 11 years?

The reason is that homes were less affordable 25, 20, or even 11 years ago than they are today.
Obviously, buying a home is more expensive now than during the ten years immediately following one of the worst housing crashes in American history.

Over the past decade, the market was flooded with distressed properties (foreclosures and short sales) that were selling at 10-50% discounts. There were so many distressed properties that the prices of non-distressed properties in the same neighborhoods were lowered and mortgage rates were kept low to help the economy.

Low Prices + Low Mortgage Rates = High Affordability
Prices have since recovered and mortgage rates have increased as the economy has gained strength. This has and will continue to impact housing affordability moving forward.

However, let’s give affordability some historical context. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) issues their Affordability Index each month. According to NAR:

“The Monthly Housing Affordability Index measures whether or not a typical family earns enough income to qualify for a mortgage loan on a typical home at the national and regional levels based on the most recent monthly price and income data.”

NAR’s current index stands at 138.8. The index had been higher each of the last ten years, peaking at 197 in 2012 (the higher the index the more affordable houses are).

But, the average index between 1990 and 2007 was just 123 and there were no years with an index above 133. That means that homes are more affordable today than at any time during the eighteen years between 1990 and 2007.

Bottom Line
With home prices continuing to appreciate and mortgage rates increasing, home affordability will likely continue to slide. However, this does not mean that buying a house is not an attainable goal in most markets as it is less expensive today than during the eighteen-year stretch immediately preceding the housing bubble and crash.

 

Pre-Approval: Your 1st Step in Buying a Home

blog - 1st stepIn many markets across the country, the number of buyers searching for their dream homes outnumbers the number of homes for sale. This has led to a competitive marketplace where buyers often need to stand out. One way to show you are serious about buying your dream home is to get pre-qualified or pre-approved for a mortgage before starting your search.

Even if you are in a market that is not as competitive, understanding your budget will give you the confidence of knowing if your dream home is within your reach.

Freddie Mac lays out the advantages of pre-approval in the ‘My Home’ section of their website:

“It’s highly recommended that you work with your lender to get pre-approved before you begin house hunting. Pre-approval will tell you how much home you can afford and can help you move faster, and with greater confidence, in competitive markets.”

One of the many advantages of working with a local real estate professional is that many have relationships with lenders who will be able to help you through this process. Once you have selected a lender, you will need to fill out their loan application and provide them with important information regarding “your credit, debt, work history, down payment and residential history.”

Freddie Mac describes the ‘4 Cs’ that help determine the amount you will be qualified to borrow:

Capacity: Your current and future ability to make your payments
Capital or cash reserves: The money, savings, and investments you have that can be sold quickly for cash
Collateral: The home, or type of home, that you would like to purchase
Credit: Your history of paying bills and other debts on time
Getting pre-approved is one of many steps that will show home sellers that you are serious about buying, and it often helps speed up the process once your offer has been accepted.

Bottom Line
Many potential homebuyers overestimate the down payment and credit scores necessary to qualify for a mortgage today. If you are ready and willing to buy, you may be pleasantly surprised at your ability to do so.

What’s Going On With Home Prices?

Blog Home prices

According to CoreLogic’s latest Home Price Insights Report, national home prices in August were up 5.5% from August 2017. This marks the first time since June 2016 that home prices did not appreciate by at least 6.0% year-over-year.

CoreLogic’s Chief Economist Frank Nothaft gave some insight into this change,

“The rise in mortgage rates this summer to their highest level in seven years has made it more difficult for potential buyers to afford a home. The slackening in demand is reflected in the slowing of national appreciation, as illustrated in the CoreLogic Home Price Index.

National appreciation in August was the slowest in nearly two years, and we expect appreciation to slow further in the coming year.”

One of the major factors that has driven prices to accelerate at a pace of between 6-7% over the past two years was the lack of inventory available for sale in many areas of the country. This made houses a prized commodity which forced many buyers into bidding wars and drove prices even higher.

According to the National Association of Realtors’ (NAR) latest Existing Home Sales Report, we are starting to see more inventory come to market over the last few months. This, paired with patient buyers who are willing to wait to find the right homes, is creating a natural environment for price growth to slow.

Historically, prices appreciated at a rate of 3.7% (from 1987-1999). CoreLogic predicts that prices will continue to rise over the next year at a rate of 4.7%.

Bottom Line
As the housing market moves closer to a ‘normal market’ with more inventory for buyers to choose from, home prices will start to appreciate at a more ‘normal’ level, and that’s ok! If you are curious about home prices in your area, let’s get together to chat about what’s going on!

Open House Schedules for the weekend of October 13 and 14!

OPEN HOUSE
? 4021 COMMERCE Road, Orchard Lake 48324 with Chris on Sunday 1 PM to 4 PM

http://tours.mixedmediaco.com/83581/4021-commerce-rd-west-bloomfield-township-mi-48324

218010679
Seller will entertain offers between $2,000,000 – $2,350,000. The pictures are good but you need to see this house to experience it. Overlooking the most sought after lake in Michigan, is this Aspen inspired gem. Breathtaking views of the lake from every room, the entire back of the house is glass. Spectacular unconventional design, two grand staircases with wood/iron detailing, and an elevator that goes to all 3 levels. Soaring 2 story Great Room with detailed moldings, floor to ceiling windows. Barrel roof and wood trim detailing in family room and spacious library with gorgeous Brazilian hardwood floors and 3 walls of bay windows. Amazing kitchen with Cherry LaFata cabinets, enormous granite island with second sink, SS top-of-the-line appliances including Thermador 8 burner oven/stove. Grand master suite with his/hers closets, huge bath with euro shower, separate jetted tub, his/hers vanities with space left over for a couch! Two other En-suites with walk-in closets

OPEN HOUSE
? 3007 N. Vermont Royal Oaks with Chris on Saturday 12 PM to 2 PM and Leslie on Sunday 2 PM to 4 PM

http://nexthomecityrealty.com/listings/0,130184/3007-North-Vermont-Avenue-Royal-Oak-MI-48073/

218075412
Immaculate Royal Oak brick bungalow in popular Red Run Heights neighborhood just blocks away from Red Run Golf Club and Red Run Park. This move-in ready 3 bedrooms home has 2 full baths, all beautifully updated in 2015. Kitchen offers granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances and ceramic floors. Beautiful hardwood floors on main level with a spacious family room that includes a gas fireplace and tons of natural light. Spacious Master bedroom has beautiful master bath and lots of closet space. Large finished basement for additional living space. Fully landscaped fenced in back yard with mature trees and large deck, perfect for outdoor entertaining. Welcome to your new home! Licensed agent must be present at all showings.

OPEN HOUSE
? 4224 Coastal Parkway, White Lake Township with Paul on Sunday 3 PM to 5 PM

http://nexthomecityrealty.com/listings/0,132920/4224-Coastal-Parkway-White-Lake-Township-MI-48386/

218096091

No need to go any further north, this custom built colonial feels like a vacation destination. Spectacular lake views of quiet, serene Fully’s lake from every room. Soaring great room with 20′ tall windows that offer gorgeous sunset views. Open and airy floor plan creates the perfect entertaining space. Large kitchen with stainless steel appliances, ceramic tile backsplash and large island with seating. Separate breakfast area with sliding glass doors to one of 2 covered decks. First floor master bedroom with lake views and private deck, ensuite with marble bath and his/hers closets. Upstairs boasts beautiful elevated views from the bridge overlooking great room, and two large bedrooms connected by a jack/jill bath. One bedroom also has sliding doors that lead out to a private covered deck. Lower level has a family room with gas fireplace, dining area, library/den, sewing room and huge recreation area with wet bar. All that and still tons of storage room. BATVAI

OPEN HOUSE
? 102 E Hickory Grove, Bloomfield on Sunday with Paul
12 PM to 2 PM

http://tours.mixedmediaco.com/97431/102-east-hickory-grove-bloomfield-hills-mi-48304

Totally renovated in the last few years. Gorgeous new kitchen with white wood cabinets with soft close doors, quartz countertops and patterned aluminum backsplash. New laminate floor that looks like ceramic tile! Refinished, original wood floors on first floor, new carpet upstairs and in lower level, new Theratru doors and Oxbow windows. Freshly painted in soft, neutral palate. Updated baths. Upstairs bath is a European “wet room” which makes it 100% waterproof! Barrier free shower and euro modern fixtures. Three spacious bedrooms. Lower level is partially finished with small bar area and large rec. room. One car shared garage. Private rear patio. Furnace has had major overhaul, only the body is old. Amazing location!! Close to downtown Birmingham and easy access to I-75 too. Award winning Bloomfield Hills schools.

OPEN HOUSE
? 807 E Fourteen Mile, Birmingham with Paul on Sunday 10 AM to 12 PM

http://nexthomecityrealty.com/listings/0,130334/807-East-Fourteen-Mile-Road-Birmingham-MI-48009/

218075978
Charming Birmingham ranch with tons of potential! Open and spacious floor plan. Two generous bedrooms and a beautiful tiled bathroom. Kitchen boasts lovely blue tiled accents, and all appliances stay! Back door opens to small deck overlooking the large, grassy yard. Oversized one car garage with tons of storage. Ideal location close to downtown Birmingham with it’s shops, restaurants, markets and activities. Nearby Woodward and access to freeways make your commute quick and easy.

OPEN HOUSE?608 Amelia Avenue, Royal Oak with Chris on Saturday 2:30 PM to 4:30 PM
http://nexthomecityrealty.com/listings/0,133437/608-Amelia-Avenue-Royal-Oak-MI-48073/

218100239
Fabulous freshly painted Bi-Level home with tons of updates! Gorgeous new kitchen with neutral granite countertops, ceramic tile floor, glass backsplash and newer Refrigerator. Huge living room and separate family room with beautiful hardwood floors. 3 spacious bedrooms all with original hardwood floors and custom blinds. Spacious, updated bath. Large fenced yard with perennial gardens and new retaining wall around lower patio. Ideal location close to quaint downtown Clawson’s shopping and restaurants, and easy access to malls and expressways. This one won’t last long!